Tuesday, October 31, 2023

31/10/23. Tues. Evening Finspiration Report.

 The Ozzie market ground to a halt today.  XJO up +0.12% and plenty of intra-day selling to pull the index off its highs.


It seems that nobody want to take a risk until after the Federal Reserve hands down its interest rate decision tomorrow night (Oz time).

Momentum has ground to a halt as evidenced by a flat RSI and flat DZ Stochastic.

RSI is at such a low level that I'd have to think the only way from here is to the upside.  But - the market might have different ideas.

Despite the flat finish, eight sectors were up and three down.  Materials (XMJ) was a big drag on the market, down -1.08%.  At the other end of the scale was Property +1.06%.  


Today's bullish engulfing candle, coming at the end of a down trend, looks tantalizing.  At the very least it suggests a short-term up-trend.  Are some big punters taking a bet on the Federal Reserve holding interest rates steady?

In early trading this evening, European stocks are moderatly up.  STOXX600 +0.4%.

Dow Futures up modestly +0.26%.  Oil is also up +0.94%.  Computer says - NO.  Shouldn't happen.  Dow and Oil are usually inversely correlated.  Bond yields are down a little (price of bonds up).  That's the way it "should" be.  Maybe Oil has got it wrong.  

Good luck.

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