23/7/22. Yesterday in Australia.
XJO chart shows a doji candlestick which indicates indecision. The index finished flat -0.04%. That comes at a major horizontal resistance level, so the next move may be to the downside.
The market is in a short-term up-trend but a long-term down-trend. So we can count the current rally as a counter-trend rally.
Stochastic is overbought. It can remain overbought for lengthy periods of time, but in a bear market the period of time is usually brief. Watch for a break below 80 for an end to this rally.
Overnight in America.
Earnings season produced some big falls yesterday, particularly among social media stocks. META (Facebook) was down -7%. Pinterest -13%, SNAP -39% and Alphabet -5%.
Eight out of eleven sectors were down. The only positive sectors were Consumer Staples +0.66%, Utilities +1.37% and Real Estate +0.76%. Real Estate got a boost from lower bond yields. They usually also provide a boost to Technology, but that was weighed down by poor earnings.
SP500.
SP500 is now into the Kumo Cloud - that's a "no trade" zone, so we might see a more turbulent market here. A break back below the Cloud would be a bearish event.
The Cloud is quite wide here, which means resistance is strong. The most likely movement, medium term, is back to the downside. But the market will remain captive to earnings reports.
Commodities.
Mixed results in Commodities. Commodities Index -1.19%. Energy -0.81%. Base Metals -0.6%. Agriculture -1.53%. Gold +0.25%.
The lower bond yields in America and good metals prices might help the XJO to some extent on Monday, but I'm not expecting a positive day.
