Finspiration Australia.

 28/4/23.  Friday Morning Crypto Report.

Overnight, Crypto10 Index up +2.08%.

Today's Index candle, although positive, is an "inside" day - denotes indecision.  Indicators and moving averages remain on the bearish side.

BTCUSD.

BTC on a triple Supertrend buy signal.

Confirmed by positive x-overs of RSI and DZ Stochastic.

ADA

Not as decisive as BTC.

Hull MA13 has turned up.

Only one Supertrend line has turned bullish.

DZ Stochastic shows a positive x-over.

Waiting on a positive x-over on RSI

Finspiration Australia.

 26/4/23.  Cryptos report.

Major Cryptos maintain bearish conditions - but close to changing.

BTCUSD.

Good night for BTC, up +2.86%.  It bounced off the 50-Day MA.  

DZ Stochastic has given a marginal buy signal and it finished marginally above the 8-Day EMA.

I'd like to see the RSI finish above the 20-Day MA and at least one Supertrend trigger a yellow line (bullish).

ADA

ADA up +2.84%.  A strong result but no buy signals triggered.  Wait.

MATIC.

MATIC down -1%.  The day's candle is a wide-range doji candle.  Coming at the low end of a down-trend, that may signal an end of the down trend.  But no buy signals triggered.  Wait.

 

Finspiration Australia.

 20/4/23.  Thursday Morning, Bitcoin Finspiration Report.

Bitcoin fell further last night - confirming bearish "sell" signals.  BTCUSD down -5.17%

Two out of three Supertrend lines have now turned blue (bearish).  One more - and it is a slam dunk.

All three indicators in the lower panels are showing "sell" signals.

Important horizontal support/resistance lies at 28473.  BTCUSD finished at 28824

Finspirtion Australia.

 19/4/23.  Wednesday Morning Finspiration Report.

Overnight:  US finishes with little change.

Dow Jones -0.03%.  SP500 +0.09%.  Nasdaq -0.04%.  Mid Caps -0.13%.  Small Caps -0.53%.  Banks+0.17%.

SP500.

SP500 is close to a major horizontal resistance level.  

The chart is in a bearish upscoping wedge which usually breaks to the downside.

Continue to watch for a downside break.

Commodities.

Commodities Index +0.21%.  Energy -0.35%.  Base Metals +1.11%.  Agriculture +0.47%.  Gold +0.39%.

After 30 minutes of trading this morning,  XJO is up +0.1% in choppy trading.  Miners are strong, banks are weak.

Bitcoin.

BTCUSD was up strongly last night, +3.21%.  Technically, bearish conditions continue to exist.

MACD shows a negative double divergence.  Supertrend remains bearish and Hull MA13 is turned down.

Monday's downside move could be a one-off - but until indicators turn bullish - I'll stick with my original analysis.

Finspiration Australia

 18/4/23.  Tuesday Morning Finspiration Report.

Modest gains in the U.S. overnight.

Dow Jones +0.3%.  SP500 +0.33%.  Nasdaq +0.28%.  Mid Caps +0.76%.  Small Caps +0.59%.  Banks +1.4%.

SP500.

The up-trend in the SP500 remains bullish.

DZ Stochastic continues to flirt with its "sell" line - last night it lifted just above the upper line of its Dynamic Zones.  RSI remains clear of its "sell" line - the 20-Day MA.  Both must confirm

Commodities.

Commodities Index -0.41%.  Energy -1%.  Base Metals -0.55%.  Agriculture +1.39%.  Gold -0.45%.

ASX Futures down -0.2% - that suggests the Oz market will have a weak opening.

Bitcoin.

Bitcoin was down heavily overnight, -2.88%.

Lots of bearish signals:

• Three doji candlesticks in a row (lots of indecision) followed by a big bearish candle (indecision eradicated).  
• Last night also fell below a major support/resistance line set back in May 2022.
• The first Supertrend line has turned bearish.
• Last night's candle fell below the 8-Day EMA.
• RSI has fallen below its mid-line (20-Day MA).  That's a sell signal.
• Dynamic Zone Stochastic has confirmed the RSI sell signal by falling below the upper line of the Dynamic Zones.

Stay Safe.

Finspiration Australia.

 14/4/23.  Friday Morning Finspiration Report.

U.S. records another solid upside move.

Dow Jones +1.14%.  SP500 +1.33%.  Nasdaq +1.99%.  Mid Caps +0.69%.  Small Caps +0.84%.  Banks +0.73%.

SP500.

The SP500 remains in a strong upside rally, but the negative divergence on CCI suggests it may be on its last legs.

SP500 had a good run, but it might be too late to start buying into this rally now.  I'll be waiting on a pull-back.

Commodities.

Commodities Index +0.00%.  Energy -0.74%.  Base Metals +1.84%.  Agriculture -0.48%.  Gold +1.35&.

After 30 minutes of trading this morning, XJO is down marginally -.03%, it's never a good sign when the Oz market starts weak after a strong night on Wall Street.

Bitcoin.

Bitcoin continues on its merry (bullish) way, up last night +1.68%.  It has successfully tested major horizontal support/resistance.  I'd expect more upside.

Finspiration Australia

12/4/23.  Bitcoin Sinspiration Report.

 Bitcoin up again last night, +4.64%.

The chart remains bullish - stay with the trend.

Finspiration Australia.

 11/3/23.  Tuesday Morning Finspiration Report.

U.S. up modestly.

Dow Jones +0.3%.  SP500 +0.1%.  Nasdaq flat -0.03%.  Small Caps +1.2%.  Banks +0.82%.

SP500.

SP500 is in a sideways consolidation.  The medium term trend remains up.  

The past two days show intra-day buying.

Stay with the up-trend.

Commodities.

Commodities Index flat +0.00%.  Energy flat +0.09%.  Base Metals -0.51%.  Agriculture +0.24%.  Gold -0.74%.

Although Base Metals finished to the down-side, there was a lot of intra-day buying which augurs well for our miners today.

Bitcoin.

BTC has a big rise last night, up +4.64% and has broken upwards from its long side-ways consolidation.

The crypto remains in an up-trend.  Stay with the trend.

Inspiration Australia.

4/4/23. Tuesday Morning Finspiration Report. 

Overnight in the U.S.:  Dow Up, Nasdaq down.  Oil up.

Dow Jones +0.96%.  SP500 +0.37%.  Nasdaq -0.27%.  Small Caps +0.05%.  Banks -0.55%.

SP500.

SP500 remains bullish but somewhat extended to the upside.  Dips will probably be bought.

Stay with the trend.

Nasdaq.

Nasdaq had a small pull-back last night at a major resistance level.  MACD is showing a big negative divergence from the chart.  Expect some downside to the Nasdaq in the near term.

Commodities.

Commodities Index +1.64%.  Energy +3.24%.  Base Metals -0.89%.  Agriculture +0.1%.  Gold +0.72%.

After ten minutes of trading this morning, XJO is is flat +0.07%.

Bitcoin (USD)

A wide double top may be forming in BTCUSD.  

Indicators (lower panels) are all heading down.  

The short-term line is headed down.  The Crypto finished last night below the 8-Day EMA.

All that suggests more downside if the current horizontal support breaks.  Take care.

Finspiration Australia.

 25/3/23.  Saturday Finspiration Report.

Yesterday - XJO down marginally after strong intra-day buying.

Last night - U.S. stocks finish positive.

XJO Friday:

XJO down -0.2% yesterday.  The long lower wick on yesterday's candle indicates strong intra-day buying.

The only positive on the chart is the Hull MA13 which is the shortest MA I use.  

XJO remains below the 200-Day MA.  It has been rejected by the 10-Day MA and the first line of the triple Supertrends.  We need to see better than that to enter for a trade.

Overnight in the U.S.  Major indices finish up modestly.  Regional Banks have a big rise.

Dow Jones +0.41%.  SP500 +0.56%.  Nasdaq +0.31%.  Small Caps +1.07%.  Regional Banks +3.03%.  Despite that big rise in Region Banks, the chart remains mired at the low end of its big down-trend.

SP500.

SP500 is doing better than Australia's XJO.  It finished last night above its 200-Day MA and above all three of the triple Supertrends.  

Hull MA13 is positive and the Index finished above the 10-Day MA.

The index remains locked between the 50-Day MA and the 200-Day MA.  A move above the 50-Day MA would be bullish.

Commodities.

Commodities Index +0.48%.  Energy +0.2%.  Base Metals flat -0.05%.  Agriculture +1.53%.  Gold -1.13%.

The upside movements in the American Indices suggest that the Australian market will be up on Monday.

Bitcoin.

Overnight, Bitcoin was down -2.41%.  The Hull MA13 has turned down which is a short-term negative signal.

Longer term, BTC remains bullish - above the 10-Day MA and triple Supertrends.

Finspiration Australia.

23/3/23.  Finspiration Thursday Bitcoin Report.

 Bitcoin fell -2.73% last night but remains above key support levels.  The trend remains up.  Stay with the trend.

Finspiration Australia.

 8/3/23.  Finspiration Wednesday Morning Report.

Powell's comments sink U.S. Stocks.  Commodities down

Dow Jones -1.72%.  SP500 -1.53%.  Nasdaq -1.25%.  Small Caps  -1.0%.  Banks -3.87%.

SP500.

Selling was consistent throughout the session.  The three-day candle stick pattern is bearish after failing at the 20-Day MA.  

Last night's session broke below the 8-Day EMA and the 50-Day MA.

Support remains with the Supertrend.  Tonight's action looks crucial.

Commodities.

Commodities Index -2.05%.  Energy -2.8%.  Base Metals -2.46%.  Agriculture -0.15%.  Gold -1.75%.

After one hour of trading this morning, XJO is down -0.9%.  

Bitcoin.

Overnight, Bitcoin was down -1.59%.  It remains below the 50-Day MA and 8Day EMA.  Possible support zone is shown by the shaded rectangle.

Finspiration Australia.

 4/3/23.  Finspiration Saturday Morning Report.

XJO up Friday.  Overnight in the U.S., Stocks lift for second day.

XJO rose +0.39%

XJO has been up three out of the past four days.  Advance has been turgid.  The index hasn't been able to break above the 8-DEMA.  Perhaps that will change after events overnight in the U.S.

U.S. Indices.

Dow Jones +1.17%.  SP500 +1.61%.  Nasdaq +1.97%.  Small Caps +1.14%.  Banks +1.92%.

SP500.

Friday saw follow-through buying after Thursday's bullish candle.  The chart is now above the 8-DEMA - that provides a move to a short-term upside trend.

The chart is now into the "neutral zone" where we might see some consolidation.  While the index remains above the 8-DEMA - stay with the trend.  

Commodities Index up, Base Metals flat.

Commodities Index +1.58%.  Energy +2.35%.  Base Metals -0.05%.  Agriculture +1.59%.  Gold +1.07%.

In New York, BHP was up +1.29%, Rio up +1.95%.

Bitcoin.

Bitcoin down -4.99% overnight.  That was a break to the downside of the consolidation zone.  There might be a bit more downside before another move up.

The 50-Day MA has crossed above the 200-Day MA which would complete a "Golden Cross", a bullish event.

Finspiration Australia.

 28/2/23.  Finspiration Tuesday Morning Report.

Overnight, U.S. fades from early highs..

Dow Jones +0.22%.  SP500 +0.31%.  Nasdaq +0.63%.  Small Caps +0.2%.  Banks +0.23%.

Lots of doji candle-sticks, lots of intra-day selling last night, lots of indecision.

SP500.

The past two days have seen the SP500 claw back above the 50-Day and 200-Day MAs.  That's a positive.

It remains below the 8-Day EMA and the mid-line of the Bollinger Bands.  We need to see the SP500 in the top half of the Bollies before feeling comfortable.

It's not unusual after a "Golden Cross" for the market to come back and test the important MAs.  At this stage the test seems to have been successful.

Commodities.  Mixed Results.

Commodities Index +0.08%.  Energy -0.33%.  Base Metals +1.01%.  Agriculture -0.1%.  Gold +0.39%.

After an hour of trading, XJO is up +0.65%.

Bitcoin.

Bitcoin up +1.19% overnight.  The crypto is in a sideways consolidation now oscillating around the 20-Day MA which is basically flat.

The 50-Day MA is about to cross above the 200-Day MA which would complete a "Golden Cross", a bullish event.

Finspiration Australia

         11/2/2023.  Finspiration Saturday Report.

XJO down, U.S. stocks mixed, Energy up, Base Metals down, Gold up.

Yesterday in Australia.

XJO was down -0.76% on Friday.  It closed below both the Conversion Line and Supertrend and is now in a short-term down-trend.  Yesterday's big fall will probably be followed by a much narrower range day on Monday.

Overnight in the U.S.

Dow Jones +0.5%.  SP500 +0.22%.  Nasdaq -0.61%.  Small Caps +0.24%.  Banks -0.12%.

SP500.

SP500 has finished below the Conversion Line but found support at the Supertrend.  That's in a no-man's land between short-term support and resistance.  Let's see which way this breaks.

Commodities.

Commodities Index +1.42%.  Energy +2.74%.  Base Metals -1.97%.  Agriculture +0.95%.  Gold +0.19%.

Bitcoin.

Bitcoin was down -1.43% overnight.

BTC is now down to a support zone. and remains above the 200-DMA.  RSI is sitting on the mid-line (50) which often acts as the dividing line between bull and bear.

Stochastic is oversold.  I'm thinking we'll see an upside move from here.