Friday, September 29, 2023

30/9/23. Saturday Finspiration Report.

 ASX up moderately yesterday, while overnight the U.S. was ambivalent, Dow down, Nasdaq up.

XJO CHART     


Yesterday, XJO broke a three-day losing streak, up modestly +0.34%.

In the longer time frame, XJO seems to have completed an ABCD down trend with a positive divergence showing on the MACD Histogram. The ABCD pattern has taken two months to evolve.  In those two months, XJO has fallen -6.25%.

This looks like the end of the two-month down-trend.

Materials +1.22% was the best performing sector, while Energy -0.63% was the worst.

Overnight in America.


Dow Jones -0.47%.  SP500 -0.27%.  Nasdaq +0.14%.  Small Caps -0.68%.  Banks +0.14%.

Intra-day selling knocked the top off a positive start.

SP500.


 I think last night was the last hurrah of the bears.  Positive divergence on the MACD Histogram suggests more upside.

A controversial theory suggests that stock market returns are lower round a full moon and higher on a new moon.  Last night was a full moon.  (See here for evidence.)

Dynamic Zone Stochastic has moved up above its lower band - that's a short-term buy signal.

Commodities.


 
Commodities Index down, -1.07% after Energy fell heavily -1.31%

Weird session on Base Metals, huge gap up then a bunjee jump down and back up.  Base metals finished +1.32%.  Agriculture down heavily -1.79%.  Gold -1.03%.

September is usually the worst month of the year.  We've now got that behind us.

October is often bi-polar, down early then up later in the month.  So we could see some more fluffing about before we see some definite upside moves.
 

 


No comments:

Post a Comment

Finspiration Australia. 14/11/23. Tues. Morning Report.

Mixed Results in New York.  Energy up. NAB ex-dividend today. Dow Jones +0.16%.  SP500 -0.08%.  Nasdaq -0.11%.  Small Caps -0.07%.  Banks -0...