Friday, November 26, 2021

 Sat. 27/11/21.  Covid's new mutation crashes markets.

A new variant of the Covid virus has emerged in Southern Africa which caused WHO to give it a new designation "Omicron".  WHO first described the "Omicron" as a "variant of concern" and said that it could spread more quickly than previous variants.

That was enough to put the bejesus into markets starting with Australia (XJO -1.73%) and Japan (Nikkei -2.25%).  Fear then rolled around the globe.  Markets in Europe fell heavily, (German Dax -4.15%, UK FTSE -3,64%) and America followed suit (Dow Jones -2.53%, Nasdaq -2.23%).  Even more dramatic were falls in commodities.  US Oil, for example, fell -13% on fears that countries would lock-down again reducing demand dramatically.

U.S. Markets overnight:



Dow Jones -2.53%.  SP500 -2.27%.  Nasdaq -2.23%.  Small Caps -3.72%.  Banks -4.19%.

Safe Haven trading:

Traditional safe havens benefitted from the rampant fear.  20-Year Treasuries rose sharply (TLT +2.53%), Japanese Yen looked good against the US dollar.  At one stage in early trading on Friday, USD/JPY was down -1.48%, i.e., Yen up against US$.

Commodities:


Commodities Index -5.96%.  Energy -9.6%.  Base Metals -3.74%.  Gold -0.16%.

Eerie Predictor:

On Wednesday evening I showed the graph of the Australian Cumulative Advances-Declines which showed a dramatic collapse in the Cum A-D.  I've said previously that this is probably the best leading indicator for a fall in the market.  Two days later, CRASH!

Here's the up-dated chart as of Friday p.m.:


I'll give a more comprehensive up-date on the Australian market tomorrow in Sunday's Weekly Wrap.

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