Thursday, April 20, 2023

Finspiration Australia.

 20/4/23.  Thursday Evening Finspiration Report.

XJO finishes flat, again.


XJO down just -0.04% today.  Another narrow range doji candle-stick.

The first short-term sell signals were triggered today.  Hull MA13 - that's the dotted line hugging the chart - rolled over.  DZ Stochastic finished below its top signal line.

I like to see these confirmed by a close by the RSI below its 20-Day MA - that's the median line of its Bollinger Bands.

Despite the apparently benign trading today - that hid some big changes.

Resources ETF OZR fell heavily.


Two of three Supertrend lines switched from bullish to bearish.

All three indicators in the lower panels all triggered sell signals.

To counter that - banks had a good day.


MVB (ETF for Banks) rose by +1.69%.  It is now hard up against the 200-Day MA which often results in a pull-back.

In overseas markets tonight, things are looking grim.  European stock markets are lower.  German DAX down -0.71% and French CAC down -0.34%.  Dow Jones futures -0.45%.

I think we'll see follow-through selling in the Oz market tomorrow.  (After all - we did have an eclipse today.)

Wednesday, April 19, 2023

Finspiration Australia.

 20/4/23.  Thursday Morning, Bitcoin Finspiration Report.

Bitcoin fell further last night - confirming bearish "sell" signals.  BTCUSD down -5.17%


Two out of three Supertrend lines have now turned blue (bearish).  One more - and it is a slam dunk.

All three indicators in the lower panels are showing "sell" signals.

Important horizontal support/resistance lies at 28473.  BTCUSD finished at 28824

Finspiration Australia

 20/4/23.  Thursday Morning Finspiration Report.

Overnight in the U.S.  Little change in the U.S. again last night.


Dow Jones -0.23%.  SP500 -0.01%.  Nasdaq +0.03%.  Mid Caps +0.18%.  Small Caps +0.31%.  Banks +1.6%.

SP500.


SP500 remains above the 8-Day EMA and Supertrend (10/1).

DZ Stochastic and Double MACD have given marginal sell signals, but not confirmed by RSI.

Commodities.

Commodities Index -1.39%.  Energy -1.71%.  Base Metals -0.6%.  Agriculture -0.89%.  Gold -0.48%.

Yesterday in Australia we had a flat day with Miners up and Banks down.  Today it seems we'll have another flat day but relative strength reversed, Banks up and Miners down.



Finspiration Australia.

 19/4/23.  Wednesday Evening Finspiration Report.

ASX barely moved today.  XJO up +0.07%


XJO continues to flirt with the horizontal support/resistance line.  It's now had five touches of that line in six days.

The trend remains bullish.

Today was a narrow range day - look for range expansion tomorrow which may lead the way higher or lower.

Overseas markets tonight are not looking happy.  European STOXX600 is currently down -0.31%.  Dow Futures down -0.41%.  Bitcoin USD down -2.96%.

Tuesday, April 18, 2023

Finspirtion Australia.

 19/4/23.  Wednesday Morning Finspiration Report.

Overnight:  US finishes with little change.


Dow Jones -0.03%.  SP500 +0.09%.  Nasdaq -0.04%.  Mid Caps -0.13%.  Small Caps -0.53%.  Banks+0.17%.

SP500.

SP500 is close to a major horizontal resistance level.  

The chart is in a bearish upscoping wedge which usually breaks to the downside.

Continue to watch for a downside break.

Commodities.


Commodities Index +0.21%.  Energy -0.35%.  Base Metals +1.11%.  Agriculture +0.47%.  Gold +0.39%.

After 30 minutes of trading this morning,  XJO is up +0.1% in choppy trading.  Miners are strong, banks are weak.

Bitcoin.

BTCUSD was up strongly last night, +3.21%.  Technically, bearish conditions continue to exist.

MACD shows a negative double divergence.  Supertrend remains bearish and Hull MA13 is turned down.

Monday's downside move could be a one-off - but until indicators turn bullish - I'll stick with my original analysis.


Finspiration Australia.

 18/4/23.  Tuesday Evening Finspiration Report.

ASX down modestly today.

XJO lost -0.29%.

The Index remains bullish.  Nothing untoward to see in the indicators.  Stay with the trend.


Monday, April 17, 2023

Finspiration Australia

 18/4/23.  Tuesday Morning Finspiration Report.

Modest gains in the U.S. overnight.


Dow Jones +0.3%.  SP500 +0.33%.  Nasdaq +0.28%.  Mid Caps +0.76%.  Small Caps +0.59%.  Banks +1.4%.

SP500.


The up-trend in the SP500 remains bullish.

DZ Stochastic continues to flirt with its "sell" line - last night it lifted just above the upper line of its Dynamic Zones.  RSI remains clear of its "sell" line - the 20-Day MA.  Both must confirm

Commodities.


Commodities Index -0.41%.  Energy -1%.  Base Metals -0.55%.  Agriculture +1.39%.  Gold -0.45%.

ASX Futures down -0.2% - that suggests the Oz market will have a weak opening.

Bitcoin.




Bitcoin was down heavily overnight, -2.88%.

Lots of bearish signals:
  • Three doji candlesticks in a row (lots of indecision) followed by a big bearish candle (indecision eradicated).  
  • Last night also fell below a major support/resistance line set back in May 2022.
  • The first Supertrend line has turned bearish.
  • Last night's candle fell below the 8-Day EMA.
  • RSI has fallen below its mid-line (20-Day MA).  That's a sell signal.
  • Dynamic Zone Stochastic has confirmed the RSI sell signal by falling below the upper line of the Dynamic Zones.
Stay Safe.


Finspiration Australia. 14/11/23. Tues. Morning Report.

Mixed Results in New York.  Energy up. NAB ex-dividend today. Dow Jones +0.16%.  SP500 -0.08%.  Nasdaq -0.11%.  Small Caps -0.07%.  Banks -0...