Friday, January 6, 2023

Finspiration Australia. Chart Analysis for Australian and International Stock Markets + Bitcoin.

   7/1/23.  Finspiration Saturday Morning Report.

ASX up.  U.S. up.  Europe up.  Energy flat.  Gold up.  Bitcoin up.


XJO Daily Chart.


XJO has broken marginally above the down-trending channel and the Kumo Cloud.  It still faces resistance from the Supertrend Line and the Base Line of the Ichimoku system.  Given events overnight, a break above resistance seems likely.

U.S, Overnight.



Dow Jones +2.12%.  SP500 +2.28%.  Nasdaq +2.56%.  Small Caps +2.53%.  Banks+2.54%.

Euro STOXX600 +1.16

SP500.





SP500 has broken up from its sideways consolidation.  It still has overhead resistance from the Supertrend Line, Base Line of the Ichimoku system, the top of the Kumo Cloud.  That may cause a pause in proceedings, but the strength of the break-out suggests further upside.

Commodities.



Commodities Index +0.55%.  Energy -0.1%.  Base Metals +2.18%.  Agriculture -0.41%.  Gold +1.87%.

Gold 

Gold.





Gold has broken out above its trend channel.  Expect more upside.

Bitcoin.



Bitcoin +0.49%.  Bitcoin is in a long sideways consolidation.  Wait.

Thursday, January 5, 2023

Finspiration Australia. Chart Analysis for Australian and International Stock Markets + Bitcoin

  6/1/23.  Finspiration Friday Morning Report.

U.S. down.  Europe Up.  Energy down.  Gold down.  Bitcoin flat.



Dow Jones -1.02%.  SP500 -1.1%.  Nasdaq -1.47%.  Small Caps -0.88%.  Banks -1.1%.

It was a case last night of:  "Good news is bad news."  Jobs reports last night were good - which means the Fed will keep on raising interest rates, bad news.

SP500.




SP500 remains in a sideways consolidation and below the down-sloping 20-Day MA.  RSI and Stochastic RSI remain below their mid-lines.  Wait.

Commodities.




Commodities Index -0.51%.  Energy -0.52%.  Base Metals +0.84%.  Agriculture -0.25%.  Gold -1.25%.

Gold appears to be headed back down to support of the 20-Day MA.

Gold.



Gold is falling from the top of its trend channel.  If it comes back to support of the 20-Day MA - it will probably bounce there.

Bitcoin.

Bitcoin +0.15%.  Bitcoin is in a long sideways consolidation.  Wait.

After 45 minutes of trading this morning, XJO is up +0.3% and looks like heading higher.

5/1/2023. Finspiration Report, Thursday Evening.

XJO finished flat today, +0.06% after yesterday's big rise, up +1.63%

XJO Daily Chart.




Today's action was stopped by the resistance of the 20-Day MA and the restraining line of the down-trending channel.  Not a great sign.  

A move by Stochastic RSI above its mid-line could be a "buy" signal.

The best performing sector today was Discretionary (XDJ) following on from recent relatively good performance.


There is still no sign, however, that this is in a bullish trend.

XJO One-Day Chart.



XJO opened up higher today, but quickly fell away and basically drifted sideways till the end of trading.  

Hong Kong up +1.25% today after its big rise yesterday, +4%.  

European stocks have opened lower, with STOXX600 down -0.25%.  Dow Futures -0.24%, following Europe to the down-side. 





Wednesday, January 4, 2023

Inspiration Australia. Chart Analysis for the Australian and International Stock Market.

 5/1/23.  Finspiration Thursday Morning Report.

U.S. and Europe Positive.  Energy Down.  Gold up.  Bitcoin up.

Dow Jones +0.4%.  SP500 +0.75%.  Nasdaq +0.69%.  Small Caps +1.2%.  Banks +2.31%.

The major indices (DJ, SPX, NDX) aren't showing any real sign of direction.  Only the banks look really strong in the New Year.  That looks like the place to be.

SP500.


SP500 remains in a sideways consolidation and within the Kumo Cloud.  That's the no-trade zone. 

RSI and Stochastic RSI remain below their mid-lines.  Wait.

Commodities.


Commodities Index -1.79%.  Energy -2.85%.  Base Metals -0.98%.  Agriculture -1.2%.  Gold +0.94%.

Gold.

Gold is up to the top of its trend channel.  Expect a pull-back.  If it comes back to support of the Supertrend Line and bounces that would be very bullish.

Bitcoin.



Bitcoin +0.97%.  Bitcoin is above the Conversion Line but below the Base Line and the Supertrend.  It is in a modest up-trend which is unlikely to last for long.

4/1/2023. Finspiration Report, Wednesday Evening.

All yesterday's losses were recovered today + a bit more on top.  Nice.  XJO up +1.63%

XJO Daily Chart.




Today we have a bullish engulfing candle bouncing off the 50% retracement line.

A move by Stochastic RSI above its mid-line could be a "buy" signal.

XJO One-Day Chart.




Once the XJO got going today - there was no stopping it - right through to the end. 

Hong Kong up +3% today.  

European stocks have opened higher, with STOXX600 up +0.94% 

Dow Futures are up modestly, +0.34%.


Tuesday, January 3, 2023

  Chart Analysis on this Blog is purely descriptive.  It is written for informational and educational purposes and should not be taken as financial advice.  Do your own research or seek advice from a Registered Financial Advisor.

24/12/22.  Finspiration Wednesday Morning Report.

Overnight:  Dow Flat, Nasdaq down, Europe up, Commodities down.  Bitcoin down.  

 




Dow Jones -0.03%.  SP500-0.4%.  Nasdaq -0.76%.  Small Caps -0.17%.  Banks +0.61%.

U.S. market opened higher following Europe, but then collapsed.  A late afternoon rally eased the losses.

SP500.





The chart continues in the Kumo Cloud.  That's the "no trade" zone.  Plenty of overhead resistance remains.  A break above the base Line (red) would be a bullish signal.

Commodities.






Commodities Index -2.39%.  Energy -4.01%.  Base Metals-0.62%.  Agriculture -1.09%.  Gold +0.84%.

Gold is back to the top of its up-sloping channel.  Expect a return to the lower edge of the channel.

Iron Ore +5.56%.  That looks promising for oz big miners.

Bitcoin.

BTCUSD down more than -1% overnight.  Short-term, BTC is in a sideways consolidation pattern.


Long term, BTC remains bearish.

After an hour of trading, XJO is up more than +1%.

Monday, January 2, 2023

Finspiration Australia. Chart Analysis for Australian and International Stock Markets

 3/1/2023. Finspiration Report, Tuesday Evening.

Not a good start to the New Year with XJO down -1.31%.  A rally which started at about 1.00 p.m. knocked the worst of the losses from earlier in the day.

XJO Daily Chart.


Today's losses take the XJO down to the 50% retracement level of the two month rally which lasted for October and November.  So that could be a possible support level.

A move by Stochastic RSI above its mid-line could be a "buy" signal.

Losses today were exacerbated by large numbers of ETFs going ex-dividend and many of the banks' hybrid notes also going ex-dividend.

XJO One-Day Chart.


We can see in this chart the rally which occurred from 1.00 p.m. today.  That took the market up to the 23.8% retracement level of the day's range (high to low).  That's not sufficient to give us optimism about continued buying tomorrow.  (But better than a kick in the teeth.)

Most of the major European exchanges are not yet open for trading, but Italy has opened and is up +1.9%. That's a big difference from the pessimism which covered Australia today.

Dow Futures are currently up about +0.4%.  Again - very different from Oz.

I suspect that today's big down day on the Oz market was due to some big players taking advantage of low volume holiday trading to manipulate the market to the downside.  Expect an up day tomorrow.

Finspiration Australia. 14/11/23. Tues. Morning Report.

Mixed Results in New York.  Energy up. NAB ex-dividend today. Dow Jones +0.16%.  SP500 -0.08%.  Nasdaq -0.11%.  Small Caps -0.07%.  Banks -0...