Thursday, February 10, 2022

Finspiration Australia. XJO up today but showing first signs of weakness.

 XJO finished up today, +0.28%.


XJO was confronted today by the 50-Day and 200-Day Moving Averages and failed to finish above either of those.  It marginally broke above the 200-Day MA (the higher of the two key MAs) then retreated back below the 50-Day MA.

Coming at the top of the trend, that's a sign of weakness.  We need to see downside tomorrow to confirm.

Seven out of eleven sectors were negative today and one finished flat.  So we have an unbalanced market.  The overall positive result was largely due to Financials (XXJ +0.9%) which is the largest sector in the market.  XXJ had another big bank reporting today, NAB up +4.5%.  But the reporting by the banks is now done.  They've been a big part of the current rally.  Without any more big results coming in from the banks - that's another reason for thinking the market might pause or pull back here.

Currently in Europe, both the DAX and FTSE are up a little, but that's a tenuous positive lead.

Let's see how tomorrow goes.

Wednesday, February 9, 2022

Finspiration Australia. U.S. T-Note yields fall boosting stock returns

Overnight. 


Dow Jones +0.86%.  SP500 +1.45%.  Nasdaq +2.08%.  Small Caps +1.12%.  Banks +0.09%.

SP500.


SP500 has broken upwards from its short-term consolidation.  It remains locked between the 50-Day MA and the 200-Day MA.  The chart also remains below the Ichimoku Cloud.  This remains, in my view, a counter-trend rally.  Wait.

Commodities.


 Commodities Index +1.01%.  Energy +0.56%.  Base Metals +2.76%.  Gold +0.34%.

Iron ore down -2.1%.

After 10 minutes of trading, the XJO is up +0.6%.

NAB reported this morning and is going gang-busters, up +3.49%, that will further boost the price of the other banks.

Finspiration Australia. Oz stocks finish strongly on the back of corporate reports.

 XJO up today +1.14%.  The morning session was volatile with the market rising stronger then falling back almost to par at 11.40 a.m.  From then on it was all upside.


XJO continues its strong counter-trend rally.  Now facing crucial resistance with 50-Day and 200-Day Moving Averages just overhead.

If we keep getting good corporate reports, XJO could continue to the upside.

Today, Commonwealth Bank lead the band with a +5.58% move after announcing good results.

Tomorrow we get ASX, Mirvac, Cimic, Downer EDI, AMP and AGL.  None of those have the same weight as CBA, but all are in the ASX100.


Tuesday, February 8, 2022

Finspiration Australia. Good corporate earnings push up U.S. stocks

 Overnight:


Dow Jones +1.06%.  SP500 +0.84%.  Nasdaq +1.28%.  Small Caps +1.78%.  Banks +2.03%.

SP500.


 SP500 continues with its sideways consolidation.  Wait.

Commodities.


Commodities Index -0.87%.  Energy -1.51%.  Base Metals +0.13%.  Gold +0.31%.

Iron Ore +0.4%.

CBA reported this morning.  The market likes the report, CBA up +5%.

After 30 minutes of trading, XJO up +0.6%.  Sectors are mixed this morning with more negatives than positives, but the market is buoyed by Financials, up +1.84%.

Finspiration Australia. XJO finishes higher despite poor lead from U.S.

 XJO was up +1.07% today.  The index peaked at 12.00 then chopped sideways to the end of trading, finishes close to the high of the day.


XJO is now at a major test point.  It is sitting at the 20-Day MA and the Kijun-Sen.  Expect a pause here.

Overall pressures remain to the downside, despite the recent counter-trend rally.  50-Day MA is below the 200-Day MA and the Index is below the Ichimoku Cloud.

The Australian market is into reporting season, and a lot of results today supported the market.  Macquarie Group (MQG) up +3.9%.  Suncorp (SUN) up +5.5%.  SCP Property (SCP) up +3.21%.

The two biggest sectors in the market both did well today, XMJ up +2.2% and XXJ +1.4%.

Despite the above good results, NewHighs-NewLows was negative -4.  Australian VIX also went across the grain, rising +0.94% to 15.67.  

In Europe, Germany's DAX is up +0.6% and U.K. FTSE is up +0.6%.  Let's see where they end.

Monday, February 7, 2022

Finspiration Australia. U.S. Stock indices mostly lower.

 Overnight:


Dow Jones flat 0.00%.  SP500 -0.37%.  Nasdaq -0.58%.  Small Caps +0.1%.  Banks +0.62%.

SP500.

Monday's candle was a narrow-range, inside-day candle indicating indecision.  The past three days have straddled the 8-Day EMA, another sign of indecision.

Major moving averages also provide little direction - SP500 is above the 200-Day MA but below the 50-Day MA.

Monday's finish ended below the short-term line and the medium-term line which suggests down-ward pressure on the Index.

Seventh-tenth days of the month are often bearish.  Wait.

Commodities.


Commodities Index +0.22%.  Energy -0.35%.  Base Metals +0.56%.  Gold +0.74%.

Iron Ore.  China was back from holidays.  IO up +1.9%.

Oz overnight Futures down -0.2%.

Yesterday reporting season in Australia started in earnest.  Major news came from ANZ, which initially fell more than -5% but finished down -1.92%.  Today we get Suncorp (SUN) and Shopping Centres Australia (SCP).  Tomorrow is another big bank, CBA which is likely to be market moving.




Finspiration Australia. XJO drops -1% then reverses.

 XJO finished down marginally today -0.13%.


Strong intra-day buying erased early losses of about -1%.  That's promising.  But XJO faces a lot of overhead resistance in the near future.

Breadth today was more or less in line with the marginal change in the XJO

Cumulative NewHighs-NewLows fell a little and remains below its 10-Day MA.


This is close to an upside break-out, but, until that happens, let's wait.


Finspiration Australia. 14/11/23. Tues. Morning Report.

Mixed Results in New York.  Energy up. NAB ex-dividend today. Dow Jones +0.16%.  SP500 -0.08%.  Nasdaq -0.11%.  Small Caps -0.07%.  Banks -0...